|
Contributed by:
Joe Arpasi
Last Updated: Jul 28, 2010 5:51 AM |
|
Cast of Characters
Donald Buckram – UTEP
Lance Dunbar – North Texas
Dion Lewis – Pittsburgh
Bernard Pierce – Temple
Jacquizz Rodgers – Oregon State
Shane Vereen – California
2009 Fantasy Production
| Name | Fantasy Pts | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TDs | Rec | Rec Yards | Rec TDs |
| Jacquizz Rodgers | 367.3 | 273 | 1440 | 21 | 78 | 522 | 1 |
| Donald Buckram | 345.7 | 259 | 1594 | 18 | 30 | 453 | 3 |
| Dion Lewis | 319.3 | 325 | 1799 | 17 | 25 | 189 | 1 |
| Lance Dunbar | 295.8 | 200 | 1378 | 17 | 28 | 300 | 2 |
| Bernard Pierce | 240.1 | 236 | 1361 | 16 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| Shane Vereen | 216.1 | 183 | 952 | 12 | 25 | 244 | 2 |
2009 Snapshot
Jacquizz Rodgers – Oregon State
Donald Buckram – UTEP
Dion Lewis – Pittsburgh
Lance Dunbar – North Texas
Bernard Pierce – Temple
Shane Vereen – California
What’s the Scoop?
Jacquizz Rodgers returns to an offense that has a veteran offensive line, but will be breaking in a new quarterback. Although there are injury concerns about Jacquizz’s small size, he has missed very little playing time over the past two seasons. He should remain the top workhorse of the offense once again in 2010.
Donald Buckram has experienced trigger man Trevor Vittatoe back to lead the UTEP passing attack. The passing game should look to be more efficient which will make it harder for defenses to key too hard on Buckram. With four good offensive linemen returning there are no major holes up front to contend with. In 2009, Buckram didn’t get going until the middle portion of the season. He has a chance to outperform his 2009 numbers.
Dion Lewis had an amazing début as a true freshman in 2009. Look for Lewis to be bigger, faster, stronger, and more importantly smarter on the field. The coaches know they have lightning in a bottle when it comes to Lewis’ playmaking ability and they will continue to lean heavily on the running game. The passing game will be going through a transition which means that although he could see more carries early in the year, defenses might be able to limit his yards per carry while they key on stopping Lewis.
Lance Dunbar stormed onto the scene in 2009 in a season where many people thought North Texas would find their stride in the air, not on the ground. Dunbar is the undisputed starter and will continue to see his workload increase with the move of 2009 starting quarterback Riley Dodge moving over to receiver. But the North Texas defense is not good, and they will find themselves playing behind in many games. How much they can afford to feed Dunbar the ball while trailing will determine just how high his fantasy value will be for the 2010 season.
Bernard Pierce established himself as the center piece of the Temple offensive attack. Pierced suffered from injuries in the last several games of 2009, and back-up running back Matt Brown was efficient in his absence. Although there are split carry concerns, Temple coach Al Golden has made comments this summer that Pierce will continue to be the workhorse and that he could see his load increase behind a very experienced offensive line.
Shane Vereen played second fiddle to the talented Jahvid Best in 2009 until Best was lost for the season late in the year. Once taking over the starting role Vereen showcased the ability to carry a strong workload. California has a four offensive linemen returning as well as starting quarterback Kevin Riley. Vereen will easily hit the 1,000 yard mark, but head coach Jeff Tedford has utilized a two running back attack in the past. True freshman Trajuan Briggs could find his way onto the field, and thus cut into how many carries Vereen will receive.
If Your Fantasy Draft Was Today...
As you look at these six running backs it’s important to understand that all of these players are very good. We believe these are the six of the bigger fantasy names people are considering for their 2010 drafts.
We like Oregon State’s Jacquizz Rodgers as a safe choice as the No. 1 fantasy running back. There's a lot to like about “The Quizz”. He does receive a workhorse amount of carries. There are no worries about split carries. Although Rodgers doesn’t rack up as many rushing yards as some of these other backs, he is head and shoulders above the rest of the pack in receiving offense. If you play in a Points Per Reception league then Quizz’s fantasy value goes up even more.
The one player that could contest Rodgers for top billing is UTEP’s Donald Buckram. UTEP was a pass first, run second offense before Buckram came out of nowhere in the middle of the 2009 season. Due to the late start of Buckram in 2009, it is very possible that Buckram will outgain his 2009 statistics this fall. Even if the passing game wakes up in 2010, Buckram should still be the main redzone weapon ensuring his fantasy value remains high.
What we like the most about Dion Lewis is that he has the largest workload of carries of the bunch. Pitt will be breaking in a new quarterback, so the opportunity for more carries and more importantly, more redzone scoring opportunities could go up. With a less experienced passing attack the coaches could decide to call Lewis’ number inside the redzone in situations where they would have passed the ball last season.
Bernard Pierce has a very good chance to blow away his 2009 numbers. The coaches are promoting Pierce as a Heisman candidate, and they have stated there is no split carry situation for 2010. The fact that Pierce didn’t come on until midway through the season as well as missing the last several games means that his season totals are lower than what we can expect for 2010.
We like the production that comes with Lance Dunbar but there are areas of concern. The Mean Green will be breaking in a new quarterback. If they can’t generate enough passing production to keep defenses honest it will be difficult for Dunbar to get enough space to make things happen. There are many high powered offenses in the Sunbelt Conference. North Texas has a poor defense and they may find themselves too far behind for Dunbar to keep up with his season averages a couple of times over the course of the 2010 season.
Shane Vereen is one of the hot names this draft season. The amount of carries per game he started in 2009 might be deceiving. Vereen should average the same amount of carries that Jahvid Best had two seasons ago. There are two talented backs ready to become the next “Shane Vereen” for the Bears. So expect the coaching staff to rotate runners once again. But Vereen is more durable than Best was in 2008, and should not miss as many games as Best had over his Cal career.