and Jon Millman
Last Updated: Aug 03, 2011 12:20 AM
This is the fourth in a series of articles geared toward winning at college fantasy football.
4th Commandment – Thou Shall Draft Players From the NEXT Great Offenses
Here at CFG we already told you to avoid players on bad teams. We also like to draft players from good teams. Taking it one step further, we also really look to draft players from the NEXT great offenses.
Hindsight is 20/20 and with hindsight everyone's a genius. I can sit here and tell you to load up on players from Hawaii and Oklahoma. Everyone knows that stuff. Where is your edge? What will separate you? You can separate yourself by being a prognosticator and not a follower (or let us do that for you).
If you can successfully pinpoint the next great offenses you don't have to worry about luck or rely on a few super sleepers to come to fruition in order for you to win your league. If you can project the NEXT great offenses, you will be able to identify the Sleepers, they just will be obvious to you.
Other guys say “I'd rather be lucky than good”; here at CFG, we say “WE'D RATHER BE GOOD THAN LUCKY!” You can put the odds in your favor by taking guys from the next great offenses.
What are the key indicators to identify the next great offenses? Sometimes it is the addition of an offensive-minded coach. Sometimes it is the signing of an uber-recruit. A game changer. And sometimes, like in the case of Auburn in 2010, it is both.
Cam Newton arrived in Auburn after a short stint at Florida. And as you all know by know, he single-handedly carried his Tigers to a national title in 2010 (he also carried fantasy owners to titles). But he didn’t do it alone. The seeds of this were actually planted when offensive mastermind Gus Malzahn arrived on campus a couple years ago. He put the system in place. The Auburn offense was going to become potent. When you add a freak like Newton into the mix, the offense became downright scary!
That is just one example, but I could go on and on. The naysayers will argue that this is all hindsight, but it's not. If you do your homework, it's all right there in front of you. You are not going to be right year in and year out but if you can identify the next great offenses your level of success in identifying the next Cam Newton will skyrocket.
If this sounds time consuming, it is. You have to pour through stats and analyze a lot of different variables -- the good news is that we do it all for you our CFG Draft Kit. To see who we think are the NEXT great offenses, you must subscribe to CFG!