and Jon Millman
Last Updated: Jul 05, 2013 12:46 PM
This is the third in a series of articles geared toward winning your college fantasy football league.
3rd Commandment - Thou Shall Avoid Players form Bad Teams
*Disclaimer: this Commandment is more applicable in BCS-only or Conference formats than it is in All-FBS leagues. In an All-FBS league, we are not saying to avoid drafting players from small schools (which are perceived as “bad” by many) in favor of big school players.
In College Fantasy Football, sometimes real football matters. By that I mean, how a particular player's real college team does, often will have a long-term effect on that player's fantasy production. In most cases, the best teams in college football (in terms of record) yield some of the best fantasy players. Conversely, the worst teams in major conference college football often have few fantasy stars on their team.
Now there are always exceptions to the rule, but there are underlying forces behind this theory. One of the reasons is that bad teams generally are eliminated from bowl contention early, and will often give different players a shot at playing so they can get a look at them for the next year. For example, if a freshman QB is thrown into the mix at the half-way mark, the WR's production will certainly be hurt. The same goes for any other skill positions, as any shred of continuity they have built is lost.
In addition, with little to play for, players who are hurt are much less likely to play through pain when they have nothing to gain. If a star WR has an ankle sprain, yet his team is 2-8, why bother hurting his long-term value by suiting up in Week 11 or 12? Often you'll see guys shutting it down and having surgeries before the season ends.
So what you want to do when assembling your team, is focus on players from not only the best offenses in the country, but also the best teams. These teams are fighting for bowl bids all the way through Thanksgiving, and players will lay it all on the line, and play hurt every down of every game. These are the types of players you want to load your roster with.
This does not mean don't draft a stud WR from a bad team, but it does mean if you have a toss up between two players, go for the guy with the better team.