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Burning Question No. 18: Can Miami’s Jacory Harris become an Elite Quarterback?

Contributed by: Joe Arpasi
Last Updated: Mar 09, 2010 9:11 PM

Cast of Characters Jacory Harris (QB) (Jr) Graig Cooper (RB) (Sr) Damien Berry (RB) (Sr) Mike James (RB) (So) Lamar Miller (RB) (R-Fr) Leonard Hankerson (WR) (Sr) Travis Benjamin (WR) (Jr) LaRon Byrd (WR) (Jr) Aldarius Johnson (WR) (Jr) Thearon Collier (WR) (Jr) What’s the Scoop? Jacory Harris started the 2009 season on fire by accumulating 656 yar



Cast of Characters

Jacory Harris (QB) (Jr)
Graig Cooper (RB) (Sr)
Damien Berry (RB) (Sr)
Mike James (RB) (So)
Lamar Miller (RB) (R-Fr)
Leonard Hankerson (WR) (Sr)
Travis Benjamin (WR) (Jr)
LaRon Byrd (WR) (Jr)
Aldarius Johnson (WR) (Jr)
Thearon Collier (WR) (Jr)

What’s the Scoop?

Jacory Harris started the 2009 season on fire by accumulating 656 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions in his first two games. But Harris struggled with interceptions in key games and found himself out of the Heisman discussion. But he is another year older and Miami returns 6 starters on offense and 8 on defense for 2010. 

Harris will be the center piece of the offense after throwing for 3352 yards and 24 touchdowns in 2009. Those numbers are prompting many in the press to name Harris as one of the key frontrunners for the Heisman this season.  If Jacory wants the hardware he must find a way to become a more consistent passer, as well as find a way to lead his teams to victory when on the “big stage.”

Who’s Gone?

Although there are many key pieces that are coming back for the Canes in 2010, there are some key losses as well.

Running back Jarvis James provided a good change of pace back last season. There is more than enough depth returning to replace Jarvis’ departure though. But the Canes lose their top three tight ends in Dedrick Epps, Jimmy Graham, and Tervaris Johnson who combined for 554 yards and 10 touchdowns. Losing experienced receiving threats in the middle will make it harder to keep opposing safeties in the middle of the field and away from helping corner backs with the wide receivers.

The most import losses for the Canes are in the trenches. Left tackle Jason Fox, right tackle Matt Pipho, and center A.J. Trump all graduated, and they leave key holes to fill. If the pass protection suffers due to the losses on the line, Harris will be throwing under pressure and his problems with interceptions should remain.

Who’s Back?

There is plenty of talent in the Miami backfield for 2010. Graig Cooper was the leading rusher in 2009, but he suffered a devastating knee injury in the 2009 Champs Sports Bowl.  This spring gives Damien Berry, Mike James, and Lamar Miller a chance to earn a larger role in the offense. All four backs should be utilized in the fall, and the ability of the offense to throw fresh legs at opponents should help keep defenses honest.

There are plenty of receiving options for Jacory Harris to throw the ball to. Miami returns it top five pass catchers. Leonard Hankerson was the leading receiver with 801 yards and 6 touchdowns. Aldarius Johnson should see an expanded role in 2010, and he will be accompanied by Travis Benjamin, LaRon Byrd, and Thearon Collier.

Heisman Hopes

Not every Heisman frontrunner can live up to the preseason hype. There are several key factors that a Heisman Trophy winner needs to improve his chances.

The first thing is to be the quarter back for a nation championship contender. If Miami can take care of business in the ACC, they will be getting the type of votes from the press to register high in the BCS rankings. The toughest match-ups in 2010 will be the at Ohio State on September 11th, at Pittsburgh on September 23rd, against Florida State on October 9th, against North Carolina on October 23, and against Virginia Tech on November 20th.

These games will provide Harris the type of national exposure he needs to showcase possible “Heisman Moments.” But he will need to eliminate the inconsistent play that plagued him in 2009 against Virginia Tech and North Carolina. All the key ACC games are at home, but the two early road games will be very tough. If Harris can take care of business in those two non-conference games, Harris should be leading the Heisman race as ACC play begins.

The fact that Harris has playmakers to distribute the ball to strengthens his Heisman chances. He will not be leaned on to do everything for the offense, and that will allow Harris to be more efficient when the ball is in his hands. The depth of talent at RB will also add to Harris’ chances. The ground game will most likely see a slight bump in the playcalling, and that will make the play-action passing game much harder to defend.

If Your Fantasy Draft Was Today (03/9/10)

Will Harris become that elite fantasy quarter back that many people expect? The answer is no.

Heisman caliber quarterbacks don’t always translate into fantasy studs.  Harris should be able to improve his decision making in the passing game, but the losses on the offensive line will impact his ability to have time when throwing the ball. The depth at running back should also create a slightly lower number of passing attempts. But the improved decision making should increase his completion percentage and his yards per attempt. Here’s a preliminary look at what we could see from Jacory Harris in 2010:

Pass Comp Pass Att Pass Yds Pass TDsINTComp %Yds / Att
221 360 3,096 25 14 61.5% 9.6


Based off of this preliminary statistical projection, Harris will average 15.52 points per game. Since he will not be able to score large amounts of fantasy points on a weekly basis, it’s easy to see that he will not be an elite level fantasy quarter back. But Harris does have fantasy value as a spot starter. There are 6-7 games where Harris will be a quality start. If you have 2 quarter backs in your starting line-up, Harris will be a great #2 quarter back. If you only start one quarter back, you will have to choose your weeks to play him. Here’s a list of the top fantasy match-ups:

at Pittsburgh (9/23)

vs. Florida State (10/9)

at Duke (10/16)

at Virginia (10/30)

vs. Maryland (11/6)

at Georgia Tech (11/13)

vs. South Florida (11/27)


Drafting Jacory Harris somewhere in the mid rounds is the best place to go for him. If you are in a BCS only league, he would be worthy of drafting somewhere in the top 4-5 rounds. You could expect to see his average draft position (ADP) high, but don’t reach in order to secure him. Let a more productive fantasy quarterback to fall to you instead. If you have to opportunity to land him in the middle rounds, don’t hesitate to add him to your fantasy team.

 



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