We asked the CFG staff to chime in on who might be getting a little too much "man love" on the initial Big Board Top 50's.  Below is a list of players who might be ranked a bit too high.


Quarterbacks Ranked Too High

Todd DeVries:
Tyrod Taylor, Virginia Tech (CFG #36)
Taylor has never become the truly scary dual threat fantasy stud that some projected in past years.   Add in Ryan Williams and Darren Evans getting most of the goal line work and I think we’ve overestimated Tyrod’s production a bit in this first projection go-round.

Joe Arpasi:
Austin Davis, Southern Miss (CFG #19)
Davis was not living up to fantasy expectation during the 2009 season before suffering a season ending injury. Then Martavious Young stepped in and played extremely well, and then followed up with a tremendous spring. I’m not completely sold on Davis stepping back into the starting job, and my gut says that Young starts more games than Davis.

Kevin Mount:
Terrelle Pryor, Ohio State (CFG #17)
As I mentioned in an earlier article, I just don’t trust the Sweater Vest to really unleash the beast. His number projections look about right, but I just don’t like him too high.


Running Backs Ranked Too High

Todd:
Mario Fannin, Auburn (CFG #26)
Things that worry me about Fannin:  he only logged 34 carries last fall, stud recruit Michael Dyer is on campus, and the capable Onterio McCalebb also returns.  He may approach 1,000 rushing yards as predicted by his RB coach, but if that is the role they choose him to play then I believe his receiving stats will suffer.

Delone Carter, Syracuse (CFG #36)
Carter is the centerpiece of the ‘Cuse offense, but can he stay out of trouble?  There are enough warning signs out there that Carter probably doesn’t warrant this high of a ranking.

Andre Ellington, Clemson (CFG #43)
Our projection for Ellington was penned prior to Kyle Parker being drafted by the Rockies.  Also, the Jamie Harper factor cannot be underestimated.

Joe:
Ryan Williams, Virginia Tech (CFG #11)
Williams is hands down the best back for the Hokies. But the return of Darren Evans, in combination with the addition of more two back sets where both backs will be on the field together has me worried. It’s difficult to tell how much production Evans will command, but there is enough concern with this to force fantasy owners to hold off on paying a high draft day price for Williams.

Alfred Morris, Florida Atlantic (CFG #25)
Morris had a great 2009 season. But now the offensive line is replacing all five starters. Back in 2008 QB Rusty Smith’s fantasy value plummeted due to the growing pains of a new offensive line. My fear is that Morris will suffer the same fate that Smith endured in 2008.

Baron Batch, Texas Tech (CFG #31)
Batch suffered a sports hernia during spring camp. It must be understood that sports hernias are difficult to return from at 100%. With a new coaching staff and a hungry and talented Harrison Jeffers behind him, signs seem to point to a split carry situation. Just look at what happened to the fantasy production of Troy RB DuJuan Harris in 2009 once a split carry situation emerged.

Kevin:
Vai Taua, Nevada (CFG #5)
I like him a lot, but something just has me leery of having him in the Top 5 this year. I think he should be good for 1,300 yards, but I’m not sure he will hit 1,500 with the other options they have on the ground.

Alexander Robinson, Iowa State (CFG #22)
This one pains me as I love Robinson and his skill set, but his schedule is flat out brutal. Oklahoma, Texas, Nebraska, Iowa…are you kidding me?

DeMarco Murray, Oklahoma (CFG #14)
I know he has all the talent in the world and Stoops is saying 1,900 yards rushing, but I just don’t trust him with his injury history. He just gets dinged up too easily for my liking.


Wide Receivers Ranked Too High

Todd:
T.Y Hilton, FIU (CFG #20)
In my opinion, there’s a huge dropoff at WR after the Top 18.  Hilton falls in that next group, but I’m not sure he belongs at the top of the group. I’m a huge Hilton guy and am willing to admit my pro-Hilton blinders might be on display here.

Greg Little, North Carolina (CFG #50)
Yeah, diving this far down the list is a bit of a cop out.  Still, Little kind of jumps off the page to me.  I doubt he get drafted at all in most leagues, let alone as a Top 50 WR. (Update: Little is now being investigated by the NCAA which further drops his stock)

Joe:
Greg Salas, Hawaii (CFG #6)
I personally love Salas, but the return of Rodney Bradley has me worried. Bradley will be a big part of the passing game, and he has the potential to steal many of the touchdowns that Salas enjoyed catching in 2009. Just make sure not to pay too high a draft day price for Salas.

Tandon Doss, Indiana (CFG #22)
Doss is the top pass target for the Hoosiers, but if he is going to live up to the 6 touchdowns we have projected the Hoosier offense must be able to drive into the redzone. Despite returning many experienced players on offense, Indiana was dreadful in their spring scrimmage and struggled to move the ball. Doss will be a decent fantasy receiver, but it might be too difficult to predict which games he will reach the endzone.

Kevin:
Jerrell Jackson, Mizzouri (CFG #19)
I like his ability, but it’s too hard to know if he will be the No. 1 or if it will be Wes Kemp.

Malcolm Williams, Texas (CFG #42)
A world of talent who has never put it all together. He will have his opportunity this year, but I think Kirkendoll will actually have a better fantasy season.


Tight Ends Ranked Too High

Todd:
Nobody jumps off the page at me, so I’ll use this opportunity to remind everyone to keep a close eye on the position status of Daniel Hardy (CFG #4).  If he is listed as a tight end in your league, he could be a steal for you in the late rounds.

Joe:
I must agree with Todd, I don’t see any players that jump off the page as being ranked too high.

Kevin:
D.J. Williams, Arkansas (CFG #9)
He is a talent, but there are so many receiving options that I don’t know if he tops 500 yards receiving or not.


Kickers Ranked Too High

Todd:
Matt Weller, Ohio (CFG #18)
Weller is a fine kicker and all, but I think we may have over-estimated the potency of the Bobcat offense here.

Joe:
Kyle Brotzman, Boise State (CFG #3)
This selection is only being made due to the consistency problems that Brotzmnan had at times in 2009. If you are drafting a top five Kicker you expect him to produce in key situations. Brotzman struggled at times when he should have been a lock to make field goals.

Kevin:
Kai Forbath, UCLA (CFG #4)
Skill-wise he is the best kicker in the nation, but I’m not sure fantasy wise. He just doesn’t get enough PAT’s to be in the Top 4.
 

On the other side of the coin, see the CFG Staff's take on who might be ranked too low here.