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Attack Of The College Football Geek! Week 4 Preview

Posted on September 19, 2014 by Todd DeVries

Happy Football Friday!

By now, you're already poured over our in-depth breakdowns, browsed the player news, and studied the FFCPI.

Time to lock in those DFS lineups.

Below is a round-up of some general DFS thoughts for Saturday's slate, set to the tone of Fast Times.  

Because nothing says "TGIF" like Jeff Spicoli in a mustard yellow Colt 45 t-shirt.

Aloha, Mr. Hand! 


**********



FIVE ANCHORS TO BUILD AROUND 

These guys come with a steep price tag, but are worth the investment.  Build the foundation of your lineup with these anchors.


1.  QB Maty Mauk, Missouri vs. Indiana, 4:00pm ET
(DraftKings - $8,300, FanDuel – $9,100)  
Vegas projects this one to be a shootout with a whopping 72 O/U.  Mauk has been a fantasy jewel so far and he should continue his torrid pace against a bad Indiana defense.


2.  QB Kenny Hill, Texas A&M at SMU, 3:30pm ET
(DK - $9,300, FD - $9,800)

Hill has been money all season, and should have his way with a reeling SMU team.  A&M could look to embarrass this in-state foe, further putting their stamp on who’s boss in Texas.  Continue to ride "Kenny Football" until he runs out of steam.


3. WR Sterling Shepard, Oklahoma at West Virginia, 7:30pm ET
(DK - $6,800, FD - $6,300)
He’s the go-to WR in the Sooners' offense, and this game is expected to provide some fireworks.  Look for Shephard to hit his 21 fantasy PPG average in this one.


4.  WR Nelson Spruce, Colorado vs. Hawaii, 2:00pm ET
(DK - $6,700, FD - $6,000)
Spruce is 8th in the nation in receptions (24) and leads the country in receiving TDs (6).  Expect another big game from this Buffalo against a Hawaii defense not only having to adjust to the timezone difference, but also the Boulder altitude.


5.  RB Jonathan Williams, Arkansas vs. Northern Illinois, 7:00pm ET
(DK - $5,600, FD - $6,500) 

Williams and teammate Alex Collins pummelled Texas Tech last week.  Bret Bielema loves to run up the score when he gets the chance (see his Wisconsin tenure as proof) and he could let Williams & Collins run wild in this SEC tune-up.  There are plenty of carries to go around with this duo, and Williams comes with a cheaper price tag this week.




FIVE BIG VALUE PLAYS

Bargain players poised to out-perform their DFS salaries this week.  These are the diamonds in the rough, the difference-makers you need to hit on in order to take down a big DFS tournament.


1. RB Steven Lakalaka, Hawaii at Colorado, 2:00pm ET
(DraftKings - $4,300, FanDuel - $4,500)
Joey Iosefa who?  Lakalaka filled in for the injured workhorse beautifully against Northern Iowa, toting the rock 32 times for 124 yars and a score.  At this price point, he’s worth a roll of the dice again this week.


2. RB Samaje Perine, Oklahoma at West Virginia, 7:30pm ET
(DK - $4,500, FD - $5,200)
Starter Keith Ford is out, which opens the door for Perine and Alex Ross to receive a bigger workload.  Perine has been the more productive RB of the two recently, so we’re giving him the nod.  This game should provide plenty of points, and Perine’s price is affordable.


3. QB Anu Solomon, Arizona vs. Cal, 10:00pm ET
(DK - $6,700, FD - $8,000)
Solomon is more of a value play on DraftKings due to his mysteriously low salary this week.  Cal’s defense gave up 45.9 points and 530 yards per game in 2013.  While they are off to a better start this fall, this road game could easily be one where they revert back to their dismal form.


4. WR Justyn Shackleford, Tulane at Duke, 12:30pm ET
(DK - $4,600, FD - $5,300)
Shack has scored in each of his last two games, and should see plenty of targets in this one as Tulane tries to keep up with the Dukies.  We’re talking garbage time production here, folks.


5. RB Royce Freeman, Oregon vs. Washington State, 10:30pm ET
(DK - $3,900, FD - $5,600)
This one is a little bit of a gamble as the Ducks RB-rotation goes round and round between Freeman, Thomas Tyner and Byron Marshall.  However, against a terrible Wazzu defense, the potential is there for multiple TDs from Rolls Royce, and the price is right (particularly on DraftKings).




FIVE CHEAP FLIERS TO GAMBLE ON

Love your roster, but only have a few bucks left to fill that final lineup slot?  Here are some low cost flier considerations who provide some upside.  


1. WR Dom Williams, Washington State at Oregon, 10:30pm ET
(DK - $3,100, FD - $5,600)
Last year, QB Connor Halliday chucked the rock 87 times in this matchup!  Four receivers caught 7 or more balls in that one.  Dom’s DraftKings price is as close to the minimum as you can get.  Even though he is shaping up as the team’s WR3, he’s worth a roll of the dice this week if you need a roster-filler.


2. QB Tanner McEvoy, Wisconsin vs. Bowling Green, 12:00pm ET
(DraftKings - $5,000, FanDuel - $6,500)
Word of advice: start everyone against Bowling Green!  Western Kentucky dropped 59 points on the Falcons, and Indiana put up 42. McEvoy’s DK salary is near rock bottom.  He can get it done on the ground, as evidenced by his 48 rushing yards per game.  The upside is there in this matchup, and his price is right, to make for a nice flier option.


3. RB Doroland Dorceus, Memphis vs. Middle Tenn State, 7:00pm ET
(DK – N/A, FD - $5,000)
The guy with the cool name put up 10-41-2 vs. Austin Peay, and 13-86-1 vs. UCLA.  His opponent this week, Middle Tennessee, ranks 99th in total defense.  He shares the rock with Brandon Hayes in the Tigers’ backfield, but as long as he’s getting 10-13 carries per game, he should out-produce his minimum price.  Note: Dorceus is not available on DraftKings.


4. QB Logan Woodside, Toledo vs. Ball State, 7:00pm ET
(DK - N/A, FD - $5,200)
Woodside received an affordable salary on FD despite passing for 322-3 last week against Cincy.  Ball State ranks 93rd in pass defense.  Yummy.


5.  RB Mario Pender, Florida State vs. Clemson, 8:00pm ET
(DK – $3,200, FD - $4,900)
Karlos Williams has been underwhelming and not lived up to the hype so far.  With Jameis Winston sitting the first half, the Noles could rely on the running game more and maybe Pender pops a big one.

 



EASTER EGG OF THE WEEK

A hidden gem that slipped through the cracks of the almighty DFS salary-makers with a ridiculously low price.

RB Larry Rose III, New Mexico State vs. New Mexico, 8:00pm ET
(DraftKings – N/A, FanDuel - $4,500)
The freshman burst onto the scene in Week 1 with a solid 30-149-1 rushing, 4-13-1 receiving performance.  He tweaked his knee in Week 2 and missed Week 3.  All reports are that LRIII should play in this rivalry game.  The salary-makers seem to have forgotten about him, as FD ponies him up for a minimum price tag.  If he plays in this one as expected, he's a steal.




VEGAS SPEAKS, WE LISTEN

We can determine the projected highest scoring teams each week by paying attention to the Vegas over/unders and point spreads.  This is a great place to start narrowing down the list of players to target.  This week’s game that has major shootout potential:

Indiana at Missouri 
(O/U 72)
Projected score: Missouri 43, Indiana 29


Targets: QB Maty Mauk (Missouri), RB Tevin Coleman (Indiana), WR Shane Wynn (Indiana)

The key here will be how long the Hoosiers can hang around.  If they can be competitive for 3 quarters, RB Tevin Coleman will be a huge part of the offense.  If IU falls behind, QB Nate Sudfeld and WR Shane Wynn become bigger factors trying to play catch up.  No matter what scenario unfolds, expect Missouri QB Maty Mauk to continue to put up huge numbers.

CFG's Hunter Harrison outlines more delicious Vegas considerations right here.




YOU ANGERED US, BRO

The player who most screwed us over last week.  Causing pain.  So much pain.

RB Jay Ajayi, Boise State at Uconn

30 points in Week 1.  Check.  
48 points in Week 2.  Check.  
6 points in Week 3?  That is a REMOTE-CONTROL-CHUCKED-THROUGH-THE-WINDOW type of performance.

We might not be able to pronounce your name, dude, but that is no way to treat us.  We shall not forget.

Week 4 Cram Session: News, Notes, & Injury Updates

Posted on September 19, 2014 by Kevin Mount

Here's a slew of news that DFS players and season-long fantasy managers should take into consideration before setting their Week 4 lineups.



NEWS & NOTES

 

AAC:

 

Temple: The Owls face Delaware State; so expect a big game from QB P.J. Walker.

 

Cincinnati: RB Hosey Williams is out indefinitely due to legal issues.

College Football DFS 101: Week 4 Preview

Posted on September 19, 2014 by chris feery

Another great weekend is upon us, time to get ready for the action on the field and start putting our DFS lineups together. Let’s get started by taking a look at a few big tourneys from our friends at FD and DK:


FD 30k Sat CFB Hail Mary (Early)

  • $25 buy-in for 1,379 entrants. Pays out top 200 with 1st taking home $4k.


DK CFB 25k Tailgate (Early)

  • $27 buy-in with 1,050 participants. Top 200 will cash and 1st place banks $3,500.


A few notes on both tourneys before we jump into some picks:

  • Pretty close in number of games this week, 19 for FD vs. 18 for DK.
  • FD only: Troy @ UGA, EMU @ Mich. St., UMASS @ PSU, Tx. St. @ Ill.
  • DK only: Army @ WF, CMU @Kan, Lou @ FIU
  • Both game sets starting with 12pm games and wrapping up on the 4pm kickoffs.